EV Sales Are Falling In The State You’d Least Expect And Rising Where You’d Never Guess
New growth hotspots emerged far outside traditional markets. A major federal incentive ended late in the calendar year. Charging access still varies widely across state lines. After years of leading the national shift toward electric vehicles, California may be approaching an inflection point. For the first time since the pandemic, EV sales in the state are expected to dip in 2025, even as several other states report a sharp rise in adoption. Read: California Has A New Way To Make EV Owners Pay Data from JATO Dynamics shows that during the first nine months of 2025, before the federal EV tax credit ended, roughly 302,000 electric vehicles were sold in California . That figure represents a 1.4 percent decrease compared to the same period last year, hinting that the state’s EV market could be nearing saturation. We don’t have figures for the last quarter of the year, but given the elimination of the $7,500 federal tax credit on September 30, it’s safe to assume the fin...